Question

Michael Jordan, the greatest basketball player ever, made 80% of his free throws. In a game what is the expected number he would make before his first miss

Answers

  1. The expected number Michael Jordan would make before his first miss is 4.

    What is probability?

    • Probability is a branch of mathematics that deals with numerical descriptions of how likely an event is to occur or how likely a proposition is to be true.
    • The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates the event’s impossibility and 1 indicates certainty.
    To find what the expected number Michael Jordan would make before his first miss:
    Here is an example where we want the number of successes before the first failure.
    • Using the neutral language of heads and tails: success is tails (probability 1−p) and failure is headed (probability = p).
    • Therefore p = .2 and the number of tails (made free throws).
    • before the first heads (missed free throw) is modeled by an X ∼ geo(.2).
    So,
    • E(X) = 1 – p / p = .8 / .2 = 4.
    Therefore, the expected number Michael Jordan would make before his first miss is 4.
    Know more about probability here:
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